Wisconsin Democratic primary, 2016

Wisconsin Democratic primary, 2016
Wisconsin
April 5, 2016 (2016-04-05)

 
Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count 48 38
Popular vote 570,192[1] 433,739
Percentage 56.59% 43.05%

Election results by county.
  Bernie Sanders
  Hillary Clinton

The 2016 Wisconsin Democratic primary was held on April 5 in the U.S. state of Wisconsin as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. Vermont senator Bernie Sanders won the contest with 56.5%, distancing nationwide frontrunner Hillary Clinton by 13%.

The Wisconsin Republican primary, held on the same day in conjunction with the Democratic primary, yielded a win for Ted Cruz, who distanced nationwide frontrunner Donald Trump by 13%. With no other primaries being scheduled for that day by either party and just two weeks ahead of the important New York primary, the Wisconsin primary was in the national spotlight.

The two parties' primaries were held in conjunction with this year's Wisconsin judicial elections, where Wisconsin Supreme Court justice Rebecca Bradley was confirmed for a 10-year elected term, winning over Appeals Court judge JoAnne Kloppenburg.[2]

Clinton's poor showing in the state and in nearby Michigan would ultimately spell disaster for her in the fall, losing both states to Republican Donald Trump in the general election held on November 8th, albeit by narrow margins.

Procedure

State primary procedure

As Wisconsin held an open primary, residents could choose freely which party's primary they wished to participate in, when showing up at the polls on election day, regardless of their official registration with either party or none. Polling stations were opened between 7 a.m. and 8 p.m. Central Time.[3]

The two parties' primaries were held in conjunction with this year's Wisconsin judicial elections that included the election of the Wisconsin Supreme Court justice.[2]

Democratic nomination procedure

The Democratic Party of Wisconsin pledges only 86 out of 96 delegates to the 2016 Democratic National Convention based on the popular vote at the primary election on the basis of proportional apportion. However, only the 18 at-large delegates and 10 pledged "Party Leaders and Elected Officials" (PLEOs) are apportioned accordiing to the statewide vote, while the 57 district delegates are apportioned according to the vote within each of the state's eight congressional districts. The remaining ten Wisconsin delegates are unpledged "Party Leaders and Elected Officials" (PLEOs), or "Superdelegates", who may vote for whomever they wish at the party's upcoming National Convention.[4]

Candidates

While three candidates appeared on the Democratic primary ballot,[5] only Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton actively campaigned for the Wisconsin contest, after Martin O'Malley had already suspended his campaign.

Presidential debate in Milwaukee, February 2016

The Democratic Party held its sixth presidential debate on February 11, 2016 in Milwaukee, at the University of Wisconsin–Milwaukee. Moderated by PBS NewsHour anchors Gwen Ifill and Judy Woodruff, the debate aired on PBS and was simulcast by CNN. Participants were Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders.

Opinion polling

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Official Primary Results April 5, 2016 Bernie Sanders
56.6%
Hillary Clinton
43.1%
Others / Uncommitted
0.4%
ARG[6]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 400

April 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton
49%
Bernie Sanders
48%
Others / Undecided
3%
Emerson[7]

Margin of error: ± 4.2%
Sample size: 542

March 30 – April 3, 2016 Bernie Sanders
51%
Hillary Clinton
43%
Others / Undecided
6%
CBS News/YouGov[8]

Margin of error: ± 3.7%
Sample size: 653

March 29 – April 1, 2016 Bernie Sanders
49%
Hillary Clinton
47%
Others / Undecided
4%
FOX Business[9]

Margin of error: ± 3.0%
Sample size: 860

March 28–30, 2016 Bernie Sanders
48%
Hillary Clinton
43%
Others / Undecided
10%
Loras College[10]

Margin of error: ± 4.8%
Sample size: 416

March 28–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton
47%
Bernie Sanders
41%
Others / Undecided
12%
Public Policy Polling[11]

Margin of error: ± 3.7%
Sample size: 720

March 28–29, 2016 Bernie Sanders
49%
Hillary Clinton
43%
Others / Undecided
8%
MULaw Poll[12]

Margin of error: ± 6.3%
Sample size: 405

March 24–28, 2016 Bernie Sanders
49%
Hillary Clinton
45%
Others / Undecided
6%
Emerson College[13]

Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 439

March 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton
50%
Bernie Sanders
44%
Others / Undecided
6%
MULaw Poll[14]

Margin of error: ± 6.9%
Sample size: 343

February 18–21, 2016 Bernie Sanders
44%
Hillary Clinton
43%
Others / Undecided
13%
MULaw Poll[15]

Margin of error: ± 6.5%
Sample size: 312

January 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton
45%
Bernie Sanders
43%
Martin O'Malley
1%
Not Reported

Results

Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 570,192 56.59% 48 1 49
Hillary Clinton 433,739 43.05% 38 9 47
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 1,732 0.17%
Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente (write-in) 18 0.00%
Scattering 431 0.04%
Uncommitted 1,488 0.15% 0 0 0
Total 1,007,600 100% 86 10 96
Source: The Green Papers, Wisconsin Secretary of State

Results By County

County Clinton Votes Sanders Votes
Adams 47.22% 1,375 52.03% 1,515
Ashland 36.00% 1,248 63.57% 2,204
Barron 46.11% 5,572 53.16% 2,965
Bayfield 36.09% 1,488 63.52% 2,619
Brown 42.40% 16,701 57.27% 22,559
Buffalo 41.46% 825 57.74% 1,149
Burnett 49.04% 918 50.00% 936
Calumet 42.86% 3,028 56.86% 4,017
Chippewa 43.77% 4,022 55.79% 5,127
Clark 42.67% 1,473 57.04% 1,969
Columbia 39.21% 4,187 60.49% 6,460
Crawford 41.61% 1,146 57.81% 1,592
Dane 37.27% 61,405 62.51% 102,986
Dodge 41.75%4,505 57.91% 6,249
Door 46.06% 2,943 53.62% 3,426
Douglas 43.82% 3,577 55.27% 4,512
Dunn 35.95% 2,421 63.54% 4,279
Eau Claire 35.88% 7,689 63.81% 13,674
Florence 36.92% 175 61.81% 293
Fond du Lac 42.65% 5,519 57.07% 7,385
Forest 47.25% 610 51.67% 667
Grant 40.37% 3,068 59.10% 4,491
Green 38.59% 2,766 60.95% 4,368
Green Lake 42.89% 871 56.52% 1,148
Iowa 40.14% 2,164 59.40% 3,202
Iron 42.93% 437 55.30% 563
Jackson 40.641,294 58.79% 1,872
Jefferson 38.60%4,775 61.07% 7,555
Juneau 42.21%1,355 57.29% 1,839
Kenosha 42.49%10,897 57.13% 14,653
Kewaunee 47.06%1,497 52.40% 1,667
La Crosse 36.93%8,908 62.84% 15,156
Lafayette 46.37%1,170 52.75% 1,331
Langlade 44.83%1,192 54.42% 1,447
Lincoln 41.33%1,732 58.27% 2,442
Manitowoc 43.37%4,999 56.03% 6,458
Marathon 40.66%8,061 58.87% 11,673
Marinette 48.59%2,580 50.81% 2,698
Marquette 42.62%994 56.56% 1,321
Menominee 36.36%204 63.28% 355
Milwaukee 51.68% 100,798 48.02% 93,688
Monroe 38.86%2,269 60.61% 3,539
Oconto 47.99%2,422 51.32% 2,590
Oneida 39.40%2,500 60.09% 3,813
Outagamie 39.62%11,228 60.07% 17,021
Ozaukee 48.75%6,587 51.04% 6,897
Pepin 43.54%435 56.16% 561
Pierce 41.82%2,343 57.27% 3,208
Polk 46.21%2,165 52.85% 2,476
Portage 35.08%5,088 64.46% 9,351
Price 37.56%862 61.79% 1,418
Racine 48.84%14,111 50.82% 14,681
Richland 41.55%1,276 58.16% 1,786
Rock 39.20%11,262 60.42% 17,360
Rusk 42.52%816 56.90% 1,092
St. Croix 45.90%4,895 53.25% 5,679
Sauk 38.48%4,527 61.22% 7,203
Sawyer 36.86%976 62.46% 1,654
Shawano 41.19%2,117 58.44% 3,303
Sheboygan 44.13% 7,145 55.30% 8,952
Taylor 39.68%852 59.57% 1,279
Trempealeau 44.76%1,989 54.68% 2,430
Vernon 35.60%1,936 64.01% 3,481
Vilas 36.36%1,414 60.09% 2,147
Walworth 37.96%5,188 61.65% 8,426
Washburn 42.32%1,058 56.76% 1,419
Washington 45.24%6,388 54.46% 7,690
Waukesha 48.28%24,835 51.40% 26,442
Waupaca 39.68%2,585 59.77% 3,894
Waushara 43.45%1,241 56.02% 1,600
Winnebago 38.44%11,212 61.22% 17,854
Wood 39.46%4,428 60.20% 6,756
Total 43.05% 433,739 56.59% 570,192

Detailed results per congressional district

Detailed results for the Wisconsin Democratic primary, April 5, 2016[21]
District Total Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Votes Delegates Votes Delegates Votes Delegates
1st district 104,747 6 57,327 3 47,420 3
2nd district 204,897 11 127,466 7 77,431 4
3rd district 117,465 7 72,043 4 45,422 3
4th district 144,659 10 68,255 5 76,404 5
5th district 100,823 5 54,809 3 46,014 2
6th district 105,348 6 60,490 3 44,858 3
7th district 98,860 6 56,683 3 42,177 3
8th district 107,841 6 61,965 3 45,876 3
At-large delegates 1,002,036 19 567,865 11 434,171 8
Pledged PLEOs 1,002,036 10 567,865 6 434,171 4
Total 1,002,036 86 567,865 48 434,171 38

Analysis

Liberals & Conservatives Line Up for Bernie Sanders’ Wisconsin Rally

Bernie Sanders scored a large victory in Wisconsin, a largely liberal and big manufacturing state. He was bolstered by a 73-26 showing among younger voters, a 64-35 showing among men, a 72-28 showing among self-identified Independents, and a 59-40 showing among white voters who comprised 83% of the electorate in the Cheese State. Sanders also won women 50-49, but lost African American voters to Clinton, 69-31. Sanders swept all income and educational attainment levels in Wisconsin.

Sanders won unions 54-46, a key demographic in the industrial Rust Belt.

Sanders swept all counties in Wisconsin but one. He was victorious in the southeast 55-45, in the southwest 62-38, and in rural northeastern and northwestern Wisconsin 57-42. He carried the major cities of Madison, which has a younger electorate, as well as Eau Claire, Green Bay, Oshkosh, and Kenosha. Clinton won in Milwaukee 51-48, likely thanks to her ardent African American support.[22]

References

  1. Wisconsin Official Primary Results
  2. 1 2 Patrick Marley (April 6, 2016). "Rebecca Bradley beats JoAnne Kloppenburg in high court race". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved April 6, 2016.
  3. Michele Gorman (April 5, 2016). "How to follow voting results in Wisconsin". Newsweek. Retrieved April 6, 2016.
  4. "Wisconsin Democratic primary, 2016". The Green Papers. Retrieved April 6, 2016.
  5. "Candidates on ballot: 2016 spring election and presidential preference vote" (PDF). Wisconsin Government Accountability Board. March 29, 2016. Retrieved April 6, 2016.
  6. "ARC Wisconsin Poll April 1-3, 2016". Retrieved 2016-04-04.
  7. "Wisconsin Feels the Bern While Cruz has Momentum Going into Primaries" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-04-04.
  8. "CBS News 2016 Battleground TrackerWisconsin". Retrieved 2016-04-03.
  9. "FOX Business Network Poll: Sanders Tops Clinton by Five in Wisconsin". Retrieved 2016-03-31.
  10. "Loras College Poll finds Cruz tops Trump, Clinton leads Sanders, tight race for state supreme court in Wisconsin". Retrieved 2016-04-02.
  11. "Sanders leads in Wisconsin; GOP Race Close; VA Privatization Issue Hurts Johnson" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-03-31.
  12. "Marquette Law School Poll – March 24-28, 2016" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-03-30.
  13. "EMERSON POLL: WISCONSIN PRIMARY IN PLAY FOR BOTH PARTIES; CRUZ LEADS TRUMP BY A POINT; CLINTON UP 6 OVER SANDERS; CRUZ FARES BETTER THAN TRUMP IN GENERAL AGAINST CLINTON" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-03-24.
  14. "@MULawPoll: In Dem prez race in WI, it's Sanders 44%, Clinton 43%. In @mulawpoll in January, it was Clinton 45%, Sanders 43%. #mulawpoll". Twitter. February 25, 2016. Retrieved February 25, 2016.
  15. "For Democrats in WI: Hillary Clinton 45%, Bernie Sanders 43%, Martin O'Malley 1% among those intending to vote.". Twitter. January 28, 2016. Retrieved February 5, 2016.
  16. "New Marquette Law School Poll finds Carson, Trump and Rubio atop tight Wisconsin GOP primary race".
  17. "The Wisconsin Survey fall 2015 | The Wisconsin Survey fall 2015" (PDF). Retrieved 2015-10-21.
  18. "Marquette Law School Poll finds Walker job approval at 37 percent, following presidential run | Marquette Law School Poll". law.marquette.edu. Retrieved 2015-09-30.
  19. "Marquette Law School Poll finds Walker, Clinton leading primary fields among Wisconsin voters | Marquette Law School Poll". law.marquette.edu. Retrieved 2015-08-20.
  20. "Marquette Law School Poll finds Walker job approval down | Marquette Law School Poll". law.marquette.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  21. The Green Papers
  22. "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved 2016-10-18.
This article is issued from Wikipedia - version of the 11/29/2016. The text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution/Share Alike but additional terms may apply for the media files.