United States Senate election in Nevada, 2016

United States Senate election in Nevada, 2016
Nevada
November 8, 2016
 
Nominee Catherine Cortez Masto Joe Heck
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 520,658 494,427
Percentage 47.1% 44.7%

U.S. Senator before election

Harry Reid
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Catherine Cortez Masto
Democratic

The 2016 United States Senate election in Nevada was held on November 8, 2016 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The state primary election was held on June 14, 2016.[1]

Incumbent Democratic Senator Harry Reid, the Senate Minority Leader, initially said he would seek re-election to a sixth term, but announced on March 26, 2015 that he would retire instead. [2][3]

Catherine Cortez Masto (D) defeated Joe Heck (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016.

Democratic Party primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Democratic endorsements

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Catherine Cortez Masto 81,944 81%
Democratic Allen Rheinhart 5,645 6%
Democratic None of these candidates 5,498 5%
Democratic Liddo Susan O'Briant 4,834 5%
Democratic Bobby Mahendra 3,760 3%
Total votes 101,681 100%

Republican Party primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Joe
Heck		 Sharron
Angle		 Other Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies March 28–30, 2016 500 ± 4.38% 67% 11% 3% 17%

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Joe Heck 74,517 65%
Republican Sharron Angle 26,142 23%
Republican None of these candidates 3,902 3%
Republican Thomas Heck 3,570 3%
Republican Eddie Hamilton 2,507 2%
Republican D'Nese Davis 1,937 2%
Republican Bill Tarbell 1,179 1%
Republican Robert Leeds 662 0.6%
Republican Juston Preble 582 0.5%
Republican Carlo Poliak 279 0.2%
Total votes 114,827 100.00

Independent American Party primary

Candidates

Declared

Libertarian Party primary

Candidates

Declined

Independents

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[66] Tossup September 30, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] Lean D November 7, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[68] Tossup September 30, 2016
Daily Kos[69] Lean D November 7, 2016
Real Clear Politics[70] Tossup October 1, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Catherine
Cortez Masto (D)		 Joe
Heck (R)		 Other None of these
candidates		 Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 1,207 ± 4.6% 50% 45% — — 5%
Gravis Marketing November 3–6, 2016 1,158 ± 2.9% 49% 43% — — 8%
SurveyMonkey October 31–November 6, 2016 1,124 ± 4.6% 49% 46% — — 5%
Emerson College November 4–5, 2016 600 ± 3.9% 48% 47% 3% — 1%
SurveyMonkey October 28–November 3, 2016 1,016 ± 4.6% 49% 46% — — 5%
SurveyMonkey October 27–November 2, 2016 937 ± 4.6% 48% 47% — — 5%
Public Policy Polling October 31–November 1, 2016 688 ± 3.7% 47% 44% — — 9%
JMC Analytics & Polling (R)/8 News NOW October 28–November 1, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 45% 43% 1% 3% 7%
45% 43% 1% 4% 6%
The Times Picayune/Lucid October 28–November 1, 2016 892 ± 3.0% 47% 41% — — 13%
CNN/ORC October 27–November 1, 2016 790 LV ± 3.5% 47% 49% — 3% 1%
860 RV 47% 48% — 4% 1%
SurveyMonkey October 26–November 1, 2016 994 ± 4.6% 47% 47% — — 6%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 1,010 ± 4.6% 47% 47% — — 6%
Emerson College October 26–27, 2016 550 ± 4.1% 44% 48% 3% — 6%
Breitbart/Gravis Marketing October 25, 2016 875 ± 3.3% 50% 44% — — 6%
NBC/WSJ/Marist October 20–24, 2016 707 LV ± 3.7% 42% 49% 4% — 5%
985 RV ± 3.1% 42% 47% 4% — 6%
Bendixen & Amandi International/Las Vegas Review-Journal October 20–23, 2016 800 ± 3.5% 45% 44% 2% — 9%
KTNV/Rasmussen October 20–22, 2016 826 ± 3.5% 43% 41% 7% — 8%
Monmouth University October 14–17, 2016 413 ± 4.8% 42% 45% 4% 5% 4%
Washington Post/SurveyMonkey October 8–16, 2016 884 ± 0.5% 47% 48% — — 5%
CNN/ORC October 10–15, 2016 698 LV ± 3.5% 52% 45% — 2% 1%
862 RV 50% 44% — 4% 2%
CBS News/YouGov October 12–14, 2016 996 ± 4.5% 39% 39% 4% — 18%
JMC Analytics & Polling (R)/8 News NOW October 10–13, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 41% 36% 6% 5% 14%
40% 35% 6% 4% 16%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) October 11–12, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 44% 47% — 2% 5%
Clarity Campaign Labs - End Citizens United October 10–11, 2016 1,010 ± 3.1% 44% 41% 8% — 7%
Public Policy Polling October 10–11, 2016 986 ± 3.1% 43% 39% — — 18%
Emerson College October 2–4, 2016 700 ± 3.6% 41% 45% 7% — 7%
Hart Research Associates September 27–October 2, 2016 700 ± 3.2% 46% 47% — — 7%
Bendixen & Amandi International/Las Vegas Review-Journal September 27–29, 2016 800 ± 3.5% 45% 47% — — 8%
Suffolk University September 27–29, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 35% 38% 2% 4% 18%
FOX News September 18–20, 2016 704 LV ± 3.5% 36% 43% 7% 5% 8%
805 RV 34% 41% 7% 8% 10%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps September 10–19, 2016 400 ± 4.0% 41% 47% 1% — 11%
KTNV/Rasmussen September 16–18, 2016 800 ± 4.0% 40% 44% 6% — 11%
Insights West September 12–14, 2016 398 ± 4.9% 39% 43% 4% — 14%
Monmouth University September 11–13, 2016 406 ± 4.9% 43% 46% 4% 3% 4%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - End Citizens United September 6–8, 2016 600 ± 4.0% 49% 47% — — 4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist September 6–8, 2016 627 LV ± 3.9% 45% 47% 1% — 7%
915 RV ± 3.2% 46% 45% 1% — 8%
Public Policy Polling September 6–7, 2016 815 ± 3.4% 42% 41% — — 16%
Suffolk University August 15–17, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 37% 37% 3% 6% 14%
CBS News/YouGov August 2–5, 2016 993 ± 4.6% 35% 38% 4% — 23%
KTNV/Rasmussen July 29–31, 2016 750 ± 4.0% 41% 42% 6% — 11%
KTNV/Rasmussen July 22–24, 2016 750 ± 4.0% 37% 46% 5% — 12%
Monmouth University July 7–10, 2016 408 ± 4.9% 40% 42% 5% 6% 7%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner - Democracy Corps June 11–20, 2016 300 ± 5.7% 41% 46% — — 13%
Gravis Marketing May 24–25, 2016 1,637 ± 2.0% 45% 43% — — 12%
Gravis Marketing February 14–15, 2016 1,366 ± 3.0% 41% 44% — — 15%
Gravis Marketing December 23–27, 2015 909 ± 3.0% 37% 47% — — 16%
Gravis Marketing July 16, 2015 1,276 ± 3.0% 35% 49% — — 16%
Public Policy Polling July 15, 2015 677 ± 3.8% 42% 41% — — 17%

Results

Despite Republican victories elsewhere nationwide, Cortez Masto won her bid to succeed Harry Reid 47.07-44.70, or by 2.37%, running 0.01% better than Hillary Clinton. [71]

United States Senate election in Nevada, 2016
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Catherine Cortez Masto 520,658 47.07% -3.22%
Republican Joe Heck 494,427 44.55% +0.25%
None of These Candidates – 42,085 3.81% +1.56%
Independent American Party of Nevada Tom Jones 17,104 1.55% +1.11%
No Party Preference Tony Guinta 10,719 0.97% N/A
No Party Preference Jarrod Williams 6,864 0.62% N/A
Majority 26,231 2.37%
Total votes 1,106,020 100 +52.62%
Democratic hold Swing

See also

References

  1. ↑ "NEVADA ELECTION CALENDAR".
  2. 1 2 Meredith Shiner (August 7, 2012). "Nevada: Harry Reid to Retire … in 2016?". Roll Call. Retrieved March 22, 2015.
  3. ↑ Dann, Carrie (March 27, 2015). "Harry Reid Says He's Not Running for Re-Election in 2016". NBC News. Retrieved March 27, 2015.
  4. ↑ DelReal, Jose A. "Catherine Cortez Masto announces bid to succeed Harry Reid in the Senate". The Washington Post. Retrieved April 8, 2015.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Richardson, Seth A. (March 18, 2016). "UPDATE: 18, including Angle, file for Reid Senate seat, 3 Dems hope to challenge Amodei". Reno Gazette-Journal. Retrieved March 19, 2016.
  6. 1 2 Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014). "16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate". Politico. Retrieved December 29, 2014.
  7. 1 2 3 4 Cheney, Kyle (March 27, 2015). "Parties search for Harry Reid replacements in Nevada". Politico. Retrieved March 27, 2015.
  8. 1 2 3 Myers, Laura (March 31, 2015). "Berkley, Heck, Rory: No plans to run for Reid Senate seat". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved April 1, 2015.
  9. 1 2 Ballhaus, Rebecca; Lazo, Alejandro (March 27, 2015). "Nevada Scene: Who Will Run for Reid's Senate Seat?". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved March 29, 2015.
  10. ↑ Myers, Laura (April 22, 2015). "Democrat Lucy Flores announces congressional bid". Las Vegas Review Journal. Retrieved April 23, 2015.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 Myers, Laura (April 30, 2015). "Notable Nevada politicians endorse Catherine Cortez Masto's U.S. Senate bid". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved May 26, 2015.
  12. 1 2 Miller, Ross (April 8, 2015). "I'm proud to support my friend Catherine Cortez Masto in her bid for US Senate". Twitter. Retrieved April 8, 2015.
  13. ↑ Joseph, Cameron (March 27, 2015). "Rep. Titus considering bid for Reid's seat". The Hill. Retrieved March 27, 2015.
  14. ↑ "Titus will not seek Reid's U.S. Senate seat in 2016". KSNV. May 26, 2015. Retrieved May 26, 2015.
  15. ↑ Messerly, Megan (October 17, 2016). "Obama backs Cortez Masto for Senate in new radio ad". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved October 23, 2016.
  16. ↑ Avila, Sergio (October 13, 2016). "Vice President Biden rallies Democratic voters during Las Vegas visit". KSNV. Retrieved October 30, 2016.
  17. ↑ Botkin, Ben; Bruzda, Natalie (August 4, 2016). "Clinton says US should offer varied job training opportunities to young people". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved August 5, 2016. Clinton also praised U.S. Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., who is retiring, and encouraged supporters to vote for Catherine Cortez Masto, the Democratic candidate running for the open seat against U.S. Rep. Joe Heck, R-Nev.
  18. ↑ "NV, PA, NC & OH-Sen: Sen. Sherrod Brown (D. OH) helps these climate hawks take on the Kochs". Daily Kos. September 14, 2016. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  19. ↑ "NV, NH, NC & PA-Sen: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D. CA) helps these women take back the U.S. Senate". Daily Kos. October 29, 2016. Retrieved November 1, 2016.
  20. ↑ Kirsten Gillibrand (December 31, 2015). "Proud to support @TammyforIL @DonnaFEdwards @KamalaHarris @Maggie_Hassan @Ann_Kirkpatrick @CatherineForNV & @KatieMcGintyPA for Senate.". Twitter. Retrieved January 13, 2016.
  21. ↑ "NV-Sen: Sen. Gary Peters (D. MI) helps Catherine Cortez Masto take on Joe Heck (R)". Daily Kos. July 30, 2015. Retrieved November 1, 2016.
  22. ↑ Kane, Paul (March 27, 2015). "Memo to @RalstonReports - Reid also endorsed Catherine Cortez Mastro for nomination to succeed him in Senate. Spoke with her this morning.". Twitter. Retrieved March 27, 2015.
  23. ↑ Hagen, Lisa (August 29, 2016). "Sanders endorses Dem candidates in critical senate races". The Hill. Retrieved August 29, 2016.
  24. ↑ Warren, Elizabeth (October 4, 2016). "Making calls with @CatherineForNV in Las Vegas today to thank volunteers for all they're doing!". Twitter. Retrieved October 4, 2016.
  25. ↑ Tucciarone, Alexander (May 16, 2016). "Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC Endorses Nevada's Catherine Cortez Masto for the United States Senate". BEND THE ARC Jewish Action. Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC. Retrieved 2016-07-17.
  26. ↑ "Catherine Cortez Masto for U.S. Senate - Nevada". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 1, 2016.
  27. ↑ Farooque, Omer (September 25, 2015). "BREAKING: Democracy for America endorses Catherine Cortez Masto for U.S. Senate". Democracy for America. Retrieved October 8, 2015.
  28. ↑ Levinson, Alexis (April 8, 2015). ".@dscc endorses Catherine Cortez Masto as "strongest candidate to keep this Senate seat in Dem hands and continue Harry Reid's legacy"". Twitter. Retrieved April 8, 2015.
  29. ↑ Camia, Catalina (April 16, 2015). "EMILY's List backs Cortez Masto for Nevada Senate". ONPOLITICS. USA TODAY. Retrieved 2016-07-17.
  30. ↑ "HRC Announces Endorsement of Catherine Cortez Masto for United States Senate". Press Releases. The Human Rights Campaign. May 4, 2016. Retrieved 2016-07-17.
  31. ↑ LCV mailing March 2016
  32. ↑ AP (March 2, 2016). "Cortez Masto picks up police endorsement in Senate race". KOLO 8 ABC NewsNOW. KOLOTV. Retrieved 2016-07-17.
  33. ↑ "Planned Parenthood Action fund is thrilled to help Catherine Cortez Masto make history and become the first Latina elected to the U.S. Senate". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved August 16, 2016.
  34. ↑ Dison, Denis (October 7, 2015). "NRDC Action Fund endorses Cortez Masto for Senate". The MARKUP. NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved 2016-07-17.
  35. ↑ Seth Richardson (March 18, 2016). "Sharron Angle files to run for U.S. Senate". Reno Gazette-Journal.
  36. ↑ Hartley, Eric (February 5, 2015). "All three Henderson council members up for re-election draw challengers". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved June 8, 2015.
  37. ↑ Cahn, Emily (July 6, 2015). "Joe Heck to Run for Nevada Senate". Roll Call. Retrieved July 6, 2015.
  38. ↑ Botkin, Ben (March 16, 2016). "Colorful characters file to enter races". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved March 19, 2016.
  39. ↑ Smith, John L. (January 31, 2014). "Las Vegas City Councilman Beers gets early start against Harry Reid". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved April 24, 2014.
  40. ↑ Smith, John L. (June 15, 2015). "Las Vegas City Councilman Bob Beers drops bid for U.S. Senate". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved June 15, 2015.
  41. 1 2 Phillips, Amber (November 12, 2014). "Pressure already building for Sandoval to take on Harry Reid". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved November 13, 2014.
  42. ↑ Tetreault, Steve (November 18, 2014). "Amodei says no plans to run for Senate". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved November 19, 2014.
  43. 1 2 3 4 5 Ralston, Jon (November 15, 2014). "MY COLUMN: Reid is dead if Sandoval (or anyone) runs, right?". Ralston Reports. Retrieved November 17, 2014.
  44. ↑ Hagar, Ray (February 19, 2015). "Hagar: Sandoval is GOP's 'A-plus' U.S. Senate candidate". Reno Gazette-Journal. Retrieved February 20, 2015.
  45. ↑ Rindels, Michelle (June 9, 2015). "A look at Nevada's potential US Senate candidates after Gov. Brian Sandoval says he won't run". Daily Reporter. Retrieved June 11, 2015.
  46. ↑ "FEC FORM 2" (PDF). FEC. FEC. Retrieved 28 May 2015.
  47. 1 2 Ralston, Jon (August 27, 2014). "Will Harry Reid Run?". Politico. Retrieved September 19, 2014.
  48. ↑ Levinson, Alexis (May 11, 2015). "A Silver State Waiting Game". Roll Call. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
  49. ↑ Bologna, Giacomo (October 23, 2013). "Nevada Republicans Line Up to Depose Reid in 2016". Roll Call. Retrieved October 23, 2013.
  50. ↑ Roerink, Kyle (July 8, 2015). "State Sen. Michael Roberson jumps into race for 3rd Congressional District". Las Vegas Sun. Retrieved July 8, 2015.
  51. ↑ "Wayne Root leaves Libertarian Party leadership, will seek US Senate seat". Independent Political Report. September 6, 2012. Retrieved September 21, 2013.
  52. ↑ Quinn, Garrett (September 14, 2012). "An Exit Interview With Wayne Allyn Root". Reason Online. Retrieved July 13, 2013.
  53. ↑ MARK Z. BARABAK (March 27, 2015). "Nevada after Sen. Harry Reid: Will Republican Gov. Brian Sandoval run?". LA TIMES. Retrieved March 27, 2015.
  54. ↑ Terkel, Amanda (June 9, 2015). "Nevada GOP Gov. Brian Sandoval Won't Run For Senate In 2016". Huffington Post. Retrieved June 9, 2015.
  55. ↑ Staff, KTNV (October 4, 2016). "George W. Bush appearing at Joe Heck fundraisers".
  56. 1 2 3 "Heller, Hardy, Amodei back fellow Republican Heck for Senate". The Associated Press. July 15, 2015. Retrieved July 16, 2015.
  57. ↑ Ralston, Jon (October 11, 2016). "Mitch McConnell Super PAC goes up with two new ads for Heck".
  58. ↑ "Las Vegas Mayor Carolyn Goodman endorses Joe Heck for Senate". The Associated Press. July 20, 2015. Retrieved July 20, 2015.
  59. ↑ Arkin, James (January 8, 2016). "Bolton Endorses 16 for Re-Election to Congress". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved January 10, 2016.
  60. ↑ Fiorina, Carly (September 27, 2016). "Why I'm standing with @Heck4Nevada for #NVSen (and why you should too): facebook.com/CarlyFiorina/p...". Twitter. Retrieved October 5, 2016.
  61. ↑ "Tom Jones for United States Senate".
  62. ↑ Morris, Chris (July 7, 2015). "Bunny Ranch owner Dennis Hof considers US Senate run". CNBC. Retrieved July 7, 2015.
  63. ↑ Clemons, Martin (January 8, 2016). "Brothel owner Hof to run for Nevada State Senate seat". KSNV. Retrieved January 8, 2016.
  64. ↑ "2016 Master Statewide Certified List of Candidates". Nevada Secretary of State. Retrieved November 6, 2016.
  65. ↑ "Socialist Party Campaign Clearinghouse".
  66. ↑ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 30, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 30, 2016.
  67. ↑ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 27, 2016.
  68. ↑ "2016 Senate Ratings (September 30, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 1, 2016.
  69. ↑ "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 24, 2016.
  70. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 1, 2016.
  71. ↑ Cegavske, Barbara (2016-11-10). "U.S. Senate". Nevada Secretary of State Barbara K. Cegavske.

External links

Official campaign websites
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