Post-election pendulum for the New South Wales state election, 2011

This article provides the Mackerras Pendulum following the 2011 New South Wales state election:^[1]

For the pendulum immediately before the 2015 election, see Pre-election pendulum for the New South Wales state election, 2015.

Legislative Assembly

Pendulum

For current members, see Members of the New South Wales Legislative Assembly, 2011–2015.

The current New South Wales pendulum:^[2]

LIBERAL/ NATIONAL SEATS
Marginal
Oatley	Mark Coure	LIB	0.5%
East Hills	Glenn Brookes	LIB	0.6%
Swansea	Garry Edwards	LIB	1.1%
Monaro	John Barilaro	NAT	2.1%
Newcastle	Tim Owen	LIB	2.6%
Wyong	Darren Webber	LIB	2.6%
Granville	Tony Issa	LIB	2.7%
Campbelltown	Bryan Doyle	LIB	3.4%
Rockdale	John Flowers	LIB	3.6%
Strathfield	Charles Casuscelli	LIB	4.4%
Blue Mountains	Roza Sage	LIB	4.7%
Smithfield	Andrew Rohan	LIB	4.8%
Fairly safe
Maitland	Robyn Parker	LIB	6.3%
Port Macquarie	Leslie Williams	NAT v IND	6.5%
Kiama	Gareth Ward	LIB	7.5%
Tamworth	Kevin Anderson	NAT v IND	7.8%
Coogee	Bruce Notley-Smith	LIB	8.3%
Charlestown	Andrew Cornwell	LIB	9.9%
Safe
Gosford	Chris Holstein	LIB	11.9%
Mulgoa	Tanya Davies	LIB	12.0%
Hornsby	Matt Kean	LIB v IND	12.1%
Parramatta	Geoff Lee	LIB	12.1%
Londonderry	Bart Bassett	LIB	12.3%
Port Stephens	Craig Baumann	LIB	12.5%
The Entrance	Chris Spence	LIB	12.5%
Heathcote	Lee Evans	LIB	12.9%
Dubbo	Troy Grant	NAT v IND	13.7%
Wollondilly	Jai Rowell	LIB	14.7%
Penrith	Stuart Ayres	LIB	16.3%
Drummoyne	John Sidoti	LIB	16.7%
Bega	Andrew Constance	LIB	18.6%
Camden	Chris Patterson	LIB	18.9%
Very safe
Riverstone	Kevin Conolly	LIB	20.2%
South Coast	Shelley Hancock	LIB	20.4%
Miranda	Graham Annesley	LIB	21.0%
Tweed	Geoff Provest	NAT	21.7%
Upper Hunter	George Souris	NAT	23.3%
Bathurst	Paul Toole	NAT	23.7%
Terrigal	Chris Hartcher	LIB	24.2%
Orange	Andrew Gee	NAT	24.2%
Lismore	Thomas George	NAT	24.3%
Menai	Melanie Gibbons	LIB	24.4%
Ballina	Don Page	NAT	25.2%
Epping	Greg Smith	LIB	25.2%
Cronulla	Mark Speakman	LIB	25.6%
Ryde	Victor Dominello	LIB	25.7%
Baulkham Hills	David Elliott	LIB	26.4%
Goulburn	Pru Goward	LIB	26.6%
Albury	Greg Aplin	LIB	26.9%
Coffs Harbour	Andrew Fraser	NAT	27.2%
Lane Cove	Anthony Roberts	LIB	27.3%
Wagga Wagga	Daryl Maguire	LIB	27.8%
Murray-Darling	John Williams	NAT	27.2%
Murrumbidgee	Adrian Piccoli	NAT	27.9%
Myall Lakes	Stephen Bromhead	NAT	28.6%
Oxley	Andrew Stoner	NAT	29.1%
North Shore	Jillian Skinner	LIB	30.3%
Wakehurst	Brad Hazzard	LIB	30.6%
Castle Hill	Dominic Perrottet	LIB	30.8%
Willoughby	Gladys Berejiklian	LIB	30.8%
Burrinjuck	Katrina Hodgkinson	NAT	31.1%
Vaucluse	Gabrielle Upton	LIB	31.4%
Clarence	Steve Cansdell	NAT	31.4%
Barwon	Kevin Humphries	NAT	32.0%
Manly	Mike Baird	LIB	32.4%
Pittwater	Rob Stokes	LIB	34.5%
Hawkesbury	Ray Williams	LIB	34.7%
Davidson	Jonathan O'Dea	LIB	36.5%
Ku-ring-gai	Barry O'Farrell	LIB	37.0%

LABOR SEATS
Marginal
Toongabbie	Nathan Rees	ALP	0.3%
Marrickville	Carmel Tebbutt	ALP v GRN	0.9%
Wollongong	Noreen Hay	ALP v IND	1.0%
Macquarie Fields	Andrew McDonald	ALP	1.5%
Maroubra	Michael Daley	ALP	1.6%
Fairfield	Guy Zangari	ALP	1.7%
Kogarah	Cherie Burton	ALP	1.9%
Cabramatta	Nick Lalich	ALP	2.1%
Blacktown	John Robertson	ALP	3.7%
Keira	Ryan Park	ALP	3.9%
Cessnock	Clayton Barr	ALP	4.4%
Fairly safe
Wallsend	Sonia Hornery	ALP	6.6%
Mount Druitt	Richard Amery	ALP	6.7%
Lakemba	Robert Furolo	ALP	7.0%
Heffron	Kristina Keneally	ALP	7.1%
Canterbury	Linda Burney	ALP	8.3%
Auburn	Barbara Perry	ALP	8.5%
Shellharbour	Anna Watson	ALP	8.6%
Safe
Bankstown	Tania Mihailuk	ALP	10.3%
Liverpool	Paul Lynch	ALP	14.7%
INDEPENDENT & OTHER SEATS
Sydney	Clover Moore	IND v LIB	3.1%
Balmain	Jamie Parker	GRN v LIB	3.5%
Lake Macquarie	Greg Piper	IND v LIB	14.9%
Northern Tablelands	Richard Torbay	IND v NAT	19.4%

Legislative Council

For current members, see Members of the New South Wales Legislative Council, 2011–2015.

Current balance

Party	Seats held		Current 42-seat Council
Party	2011	Now	Current 42-seat Council
Australian Labor Party	14	14
Liberal Party of Australia	12	12
National Party of Australia	7	7
The Greens	5	5
Shooters and Fishers Party	2	2
Christian Democratic Party	2	2

References

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