30th Alberta general election
30th Alberta General Election
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On or before May 31, 2019 (2019-05-31) |
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87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta 44 seats needed for a majority |
Opinion polls |
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Majority party |
Minority party |
Third party |
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Leader |
Rachel Notley |
Brian Jean |
Ric McIver |
Party |
New Democratic |
Wildrose |
Progressive Conservative |
Leader since |
October 18, 2014 |
March 28, 2015 |
interim until March 18, 2017 |
Leader's seat |
Edmonton-Strathcona |
Fort McMurray-Conklin |
Calgary-Hays |
Last election |
54 seats, 40.57% |
21 seats, 24.23% |
10 seats, 27.80%[1] |
Seats before |
55 |
22 |
8 |
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Fourth party |
Fifth party |
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Leader |
David Swann |
Greg Clark |
Party |
Liberal |
Alberta Party |
Leader since |
interim until June 4, 2017 |
September 21, 2013 |
Leader's seat |
Calgary-Mountain View |
Calgary-Elbow |
Last election |
1 seat, 4.19% |
1 seat, 2.29% |
Seats before |
1 |
1 |
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The 30th general election of Alberta, Canada, will elect members to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta. It will take place on or before May 31, 2019, following a request by Premier Rachel Notley to the Lieutenant Governor of Alberta to dissolve the legislature. The election may occur before the required date.
The Election Act fixes the election to a three-month period, between March 1 and May 31 in the fourth calendar year after the preceding election day which in this case was May 5, 2015. However, this does not affect the powers of the Lieutenant Governor to dissolve the Legislature before this period.[2]
In the 2015 general election, the Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP) was elected to a majority government under leader Rachel Notley. The NDP formed the government for the first time in Alberta history and ousted the long-ruling Progressive Conservatives, who were reduced to third place. Prentice resigned as party leader and as MLA for Calgary-Foothills on election night.[3] The Progressive Conservatives had won every provincial election since the 1971 election, making them the longest-serving provincial government in Canadian history. It was only the fourth change of government in Alberta since Alberta became a province in 1905 (in the order of: Alberta Liberal Party, United Farmers of Alberta, Social Credit Party, Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta, Alberta New Democratic Party [NDP]), and one of the worst defeats that any provincial government has suffered in Canada.
Timeline
- May 5, 2015: The Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP) wins a majority government in the 29th Alberta General Election, taking out the long-ruling Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta (PCs) after close to 44 years in office. The Wildrose Party retains the official opposition, with the PCs dropping to third. Outgoing Premier Jim Prentice announces resignation as PC leader and as Calgary-Foothills MLA.
- May 11, 2015: Outgoing cabinet minister Ric McIver is appointed interim leader of the PCs.[4]
- May 15, 2015: Elections Alberta publishes the official results.[5]
- May 22, 2015: Deborah Drever, NDP MLA-elect for Calgary-Bow, is suspended from the NDP caucus for controversies over social media posts.[6]
- May 24, 2015: Rachel Notley is sworn in as Alberta's 17th Premier, along with her 11-member Cabinet.[7]
- June 1, 2015: The new MLAs are sworn in.[8]
- June 11, 2015: The first session of the 29th Alberta Legislative Assembly begins.[9]
- August 6, 2015: Premier Notley calls a byelection for Calgary-Foothills, with the vote to be held on September 3.[10]
- September 3, 2015: In the Calgary-Foothills byelection, Prasad Panda is elected for the Wildrose.[11]
- November 23, 2015: Manmeet Bhullar, Progressive Conservative MLA for Calgary-Greenway, dies in a highway crash.[12]
- January 8, 2016: Deborah Drever, Independent MLA for Calgary-Bow, rejoins the governing NDP.[13]
- February 23, 2016: Premier Notley announces a byelection for Calgary-Greenway that will be held on March 22.[14]
- March 22, 2016: The Calgary-Greenway byelection is held. Prabhdeep Gill for the Progressive Conservatives wins.[15]
- May 27, 2016: Derek Fildebrandt, Wildrose MLA for Strathmore-Brooks, is suspended from caucus for controversies over a social media post regarding Ontario Premier Kathleen Wynne.[16]
- May 31, 2016: Derek Fildebrandt, Independent MLA for Strathmore-Brooks, rejoins the Wildrose Party after promising to follow set conditions.[17]
- November 17, 2016: Sandra Jansen, Progressive Conservative MLA for Calgary-North West, joins the New Democratic Party after allegations of harassment during the PC leadership race.[18]
Opinion polls
The following is a list of scientific opinion polls of published voter intentions.
Polling Firm |
Last Date of Polling |
Link |
NDP |
Wildrose |
PC |
Liberal |
Alberta Party |
Other |
ThinkHQ |
November 20, 2016 |
PDF |
31 |
35 |
24 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
Innovative Research |
2016-11-01 !November 1, 2016 |
PDF |
14 |
25 |
39 |
14 |
2 |
7 |
Lethbridge College |
2016-10-08 !October 8, 2016 |
PDF |
19.7 |
25.7 |
38.4 |
9.4 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
Insights West |
2016-07-12 !July 12, 2016 |
HTML |
26 |
35 |
22 |
11 |
1 |
5 |
Insights West |
2016-05-09 !May 9, 2016 |
HTML |
27 |
35 |
22 |
8 |
5 |
3 |
ThinkHQ |
2016-03-16 !March 16, 2016 |
HTML |
27 |
34 |
25 |
8 |
4 |
1 |
Mainstreet Research |
2016-02-03 !February 3, 2016 |
HTML |
27 |
33 |
31 |
5 |
4 |
|
ThinkHQ |
2015-12-06 !December 6, 2015 |
HTML |
29 |
33 |
25 |
8 |
3 |
2 |
Insights West |
2015-11-10 !November 10, 2015 |
HTML |
33 |
28 |
21 |
13 |
2 |
3 |
Mainstreet Research |
2015-11-02 !November 1, 2015 |
HTML |
36 |
37 |
20 |
3 |
4 |
|
Mainstreet Research |
2015-10-01 !October 1, 2015 |
HTML |
33 |
39 |
21 |
3 |
4 |
|
Mainstreet Research |
2015-06-30 !June 30, 2015 |
HTML |
31 |
40 |
24 |
3 |
2 |
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Election 2015 |
May 5, 2015 |
HTML |
40.6 |
24.2 |
27.8 |
4.2 |
2.3 |
0.9 |
References
- ↑ Jim Prentice, party leader and winning candidate in Calgary-Foothills, disclaimed his victory, leaving his riding vacant and the PCs with 9 seats in the official results.
- ↑ Election Act, R.S.A. 2000, c. E-1, s. 38.1, as amended by S.A. 2011, c. 19
- ↑ "Jim Prentice resignation as MLA too fast, strategist says". CBC News, May 6, 2015.
- ↑ "Ric McIver named interim leader of Alberta's PC party," CBC News May 11, 2015.
- ↑ "Official Poll Results". Elections Alberta. 2015-05-15. Retrieved 2015-05-16.
- ↑ "Here's the image that finally got NDP MLA Deborah Drever suspended from caucus". Calgary Herald, May 22, 2015.
- ↑ "Rachel Notley sworn in as Alberta premier, reveals cabinet," CBC News May 24, 2015.
- ↑ "Alberta MLAs sworn in after historic election," CBC News June 1, 2015.
- ↑ "Medicine Hat MLA elected Speaker of the 29th Legislature," CTV News June 11, 2015.
- ↑ "Notley calls Sept 3 Calgary-Foothills byelection," 630 CHED Edmonton Aug 6, 2015.
- ↑ ," Elections Alberta September 3, 2015.
- ↑ http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/edmonton/alberta-conservative-mla-manmeet-bhullar-killed-in-highway-crash-1.3331978
- ↑ http://calgaryherald.com/news/local-news/brian-mason-deborah-drever-to-make-announcement-in-calgary
- ↑ http://calgaryherald.com/news/politics/notley-announces-byelection-date
- ↑ Wood, James. "Tories hold Calgary-Greenway riding after byelection". Calgary Herald. Retrieved 24 March 2016.
- ↑ "Wildrose MLA Derek Fildebrandt 'surprised' by suspension". Calgary Herald, May 28, 2016.
- ↑ "Wildrose lifts suspension of MLA Derek Fildebrandt". CBC News, May 31, 2016.
- ↑ Bellefontaine, Michelle. "Alberta MLA Sandra Jansen leaves PCs, joins NDP caucus". CBC. Retrieved 17 November 2016.
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