Opinion polling for the next Turkish general election
In the run up to the next Turkish general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Turkey. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. These polls only include Turkish voters nationwide and do not take into account Turkish expatriates voting abroad.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 1 November 2015, to the present day. The results tend to vary widely (see opinion polls in Turkey for further information). Opposition parties tend to regard such polls as unreliable and have presented legislation to Parliament tightening restrictions on how opinion polls conduct their research. After Turkish general election, June 2015, the polling company ORC issued a written statement apologising for the inaccuracies in their pre-election polls. KONDA, another polling company, made an apology for similar reasons after their predictions varied widely with the actual result after the 2014 presidential election.
Party vote
Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.
2016
Date | Pollster | Sample | AKP | CHP | MHP | HDP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 Nov | MetroPoll | – | 49.5 | 26.5 | 11.5 | 10.7 | 1.8 | 23.0 |
15-19 Nov | MAK | 5,400 | 50.8 | 24.6 | 14.5 | 7.5 | 2.6 | 26.2 |
9-17 Nov | AKAM | 4,240 | 45.6 | 30.3 | 11.2 | 11.4 | 1.5 | 15.3 |
22 Oct | ORC | – | 53.1 | 25.0 | 14.2 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 28.1 |
24-26 Sep | A&G | 3,018 | 54.6 | 24.8 | 12.0 | 7.9 | 0.7 | 29.8 |
2 Aug | ORC | – | 54.7 | 24.0 | 14.0 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 30.7 |
27 Jul | Optimar | 1,273 | 53.8 | 21.5 | 11.7 | 10.7 | 2.3 | 32.3 |
15 Jul | Factions within the Turkish Armed Forces launch an unsuccessful military coup d'état attempt against the AKP government | |||||||
5-12 Jun | ORC | 2,240 | 53.5 | 23.6 | 12.0 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 29.9 |
1 Jun | Metropoll | 3,000 | 49.9 | 24.1 | 13.8 | 11.0 | 1.2 | 25.8 |
30 May | Optimar | 1,508 | 51.4 | 24.3 | 11.6 | 10.1 | 2.7 | 27.1 |
23 May | ORC | – | 53.0 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 29.0 |
22-24 May | ||||||||
9 May | KamuAR | 2,493 | 48.9 | 26.4 | 12.6 | 8.4 | 3.7 | 22.5 |
5-6 May | ORC | 1,265 | 52.8 | 24.0 | 12.8 | 7.1 | 3.3 | 28.8 |
27 Apr | Sonar | – | 48.8 | 25.6 | 10.8 | 9.7 | 5.1 | 23.2 |
10-14 Apr | AKAM | 1,214 | 47.2 | 28.0 | 10.9 | 10.6 | 3.3 | 19.2 |
6 Apr | KamuAR | 3,917 | 49.1 | 25.7 | 12.3 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 23.4 |
5 Mar | Metropoll | – | 49.9 | 25.3 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 2.8 | 24.6 |
26-27 Mar | Gezici | – | 56.2 | 25.8 | 8.9 | 7.3 | 1.8 | 30.4 |
2-6 Mar | ORC | 4,176 | 54.0 | 21.7 | 11.6 | 7.8 | 4.9 | 32.3 |
26 Feb | KONDA | 2,150 | 51.1 | 24.9 | 11.7 | 10.1 | 2.2 | 25.9 |
27 Jan–3 Feb | ORC | 8,320 | 55.8 | 20.9 | 11.3 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 34.9 |
6 Jan | GENAR | 4,500 | 50.8 | 25.7 | 11.1 | 10.2 | 2.2 | 25.1 |
1-3 Jan | Varyans | – | 51.9 | 23.7 | 11.1 | 11.0 | 2.4 | 28.2 |
Date | Pollster | Sample | Lead | |||||
AKP | CHP | MHP | HDP | Others |
2015
Date | Pollster | Sample | AKP | CHP | MHP | HDP | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1-4 Dec | MAK | 5,500 | 53.5 | 24.6 | 10.5 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 28.9 |
16-21 Nov | MAK | 5,670 | 52.5 | 24.7 | 11.1 | 10.0 | 1.7 | 27.8 |
4-9 Nov | ORC | 3,230 | 54.0 | 24.6 | 10.5 | 9.1 | 1.8 | 29.4 |
2-3 Nov | IPSOS | 1,614 | 53.0 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 |
1 Nov | General election[a] | 46,555,267 | 49.3 | 25.6 | 12.0 | 10.6 | 2.5 | 23.7 |
Date | Pollster | Sample | Lead | |||||
AKP | CHP | MHP | HDP | Others |
a Domestic vote only