Mars One
Country of origin | Netherlands |
---|---|
Responsible organization | Mars One and Interplanetary Media Group |
Purpose | Human Mars landing |
Status | Proposed |
Program history | |
Program duration | 2012–present |
First flight | 2020 (proposed) |
First crewed flight | 2026 (proposed) |
Vehicle information | |
Crew vehicle | Mars Transit Habitat |
Crew capacity | 4 |
Launch vehicle(s) | Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy (Proposed) |
Mars One organization has proposed to land the first humans on Mars and establish a permanent human colony there by 2026.[1]
Mars One consist in two entities: the not-for-profit Mars One Foundation, and the for-profit company Mars One Ventures. The Mars One Foundation, based in the Netherlands, is who implements and manages the mission. Mars One Ventures holds all monetization rights, that includes broadcasting rights.
The private spaceflight project is led by Dutch entrepreneur Bas Lansdorp, who announced the Mars One project in May 2012.[2]
Mars One's original concept included launching a robotic lander and orbiter as early as 2016 to be followed by a human crew of four in 2022.
Organizers plan for the crew to be selected from applicants to become the first permanent residents of Mars with no plan of returning to Earth.
Partial funding options include a proposed reality television program documenting the journey.
The project's schedule, technical and financial feasibility, and ethics, have been criticized by scientists, engineers and those in the aerospace industry.[3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10]
In February 2015, the primary contractors on the initial pre-Phase A contracts had completed all studies paid for by Mars One at that time.[11] The current state of the Mission Plan Deliverables (either in the form of Studies or actual Hardware) will be tracked in Table 2 in the Technology section.
The Mars One organization is the controlling stockholder of the for-profit Interplanetary Media Group.
History
The concept for Mars One began in 2011 with discussions between the two founders, Bas Lansdorp and Arno Wielders.[12]
The Mars One project has no connection with Inspiration Mars, a similarly-timed project to send a married couple on a Mars flyby and return them to Earth over a period of 500 days.[13]
Initial mission concept
Mars One publicly announced the concept in May 2012 for a one-way trip to Mars, with the intention of an initial robotic precursor mission in 2020 and transporting the first human colonists to Mars in 2024.[14] In a 2015 debate, Bas Lansdrop clarified that "we’re not going to do, I think, the current design of the mission" and "Mars One's goal is not to send humans to Mars in 2027 with a $6 billion budget and 14 launches. Our goal is to send humans to Mars, period."[15] According to Mars One's website, "It is Mars One's goal to establish a permanent human settlement on Mars."[16]
Initial plan | Current Plan[17][18] | Milestone | Latest status |
---|---|---|---|
2015 | 2016 | Candidate pool reduced to 40 astronauts,[19] replica of the settlement built for training purposes.[20] | Candidate pool reduced to 100 |
2016 | 2020 | The first communication satellite (ComSat), and a Mars One Lander to demonstrate certain key technologies, would be launched. | Contract with Lockheed Martin[21] |
2018 | 2022 | A rover would launch to help select the location of the settlement. The second ComSat would be launched to L5 to enable near-24/7 communication.[20] | Not yet contracted |
2020 | 2024 | A second rover and six notional modified Dragon capsules and another rover would launch with two living units, two life-support units and two supply units. | Not yet contracted |
2021 | 2025 | The autonomous rovers will begin settlement assembly and operations. The Environmental Control and Life Support System (ECLSS) is planned to have produced a breathable atmosphere of 0.7 bar pressure, 3000 liters of water, 240 kg of oxygen, which will be stored for later use, in the habitat. | |
2022 | 2026 | A concept that a Falcon Heavy would launch with the first group of four colonists.[20] | |
2023 | 2027 | The first colonists were to arrive on Mars in a notional modified Dragon capsule. | |
2024 | 2028 | Departure of second crew of four colonists.[20] | |
2025 | 2029 | Arrival of second crew on Mars. | |
2031 | 2035 | The colony projected to reach 20 settlers.[22] |
Notes:
- 1[23]
- 2.^ Work on robotic missions was suspended pending further review and future contract direction in February 2015.[11]
- 4.^ SpaceX has no contracts with MarsOne and the project does not appear on their launch manifest.[24]
- 5. Initial Plan has slipped 2 times, with a 2 year delay each time. (As of 5 February 2016) [25]
History
In December 2013, Mars One announced its concept of a robotic precursor mission in 2018, two years later than had been conceptually planned in the 2012 announcements. The robotic lander would be "built by Lockheed Martin based on the design used for NASA's Phoenix and InSight missions, as well as a communications orbiter built by Surrey Satellite Technology Ltd."[26] In February 2015, Lockheed Martin and Surrey Satellite Technology confirmed that contracts on the initial study phase begun in late 2013 had run out and additional contracts had not been received for further progress on the robotic missions. Plans have been disclosed to raise the US$200 million or more needed to support the initial robotic mission,[11][26] but some critics do not find the economic plans to raise money from private investors and exclusive broadcasting rights to be sufficient to support the initial, or follow-on, mission(s).
Mars One selected a second-round pool of astronaut candidates in 2013 of 1058 people—"586 men and 472 women from 107 countries"—from a larger number of 202,586 who initially showed interest on the Mars One website, although this number is heavily disputed. Former Mars One candidate Dr. Joseph Roche claims the number of initial applicants was only 2,761,[27] which Mars One later conceded via YouTube video.[28]
Mars One announced a partnership with Uwingu on 3 March 2014, stating that the program would use Uwingu's map of Mars in all of their planned missions.[29][30] Kristian von Bengtson began work on Simulation Mars Home for crew on 24 March 2014.
The second-round pool was whittled down to 705 candidates (418 men and 287 women) in the beginning of May 2014. 353 were removed due to personal considerations.[31] After the medical physical requirement, which was similar to a normal FAA exam plus EKG, due either to financial, health or access reasons, only 660 candidates remained.[28] Notably, some applicants were notified of life-threatening conditions such as early-stage cancer and were able to immediately begin treatment.[32] These selected persons will then begin the interview process following which several teams of two men and two women will be compiled. The teams will then begin training full-time for a potential future mission to Mars, while individuals and teams may be selected out during training if they are not deemed suitable for the mission.[31]
On June 2, 2014, Darlow Smithson Productions (DSP) announced it has gained exclusive access to Mars One.[33]
On June 30, 2014, it was made public that Mars One seeks financial investment through a bidding process to send company experiments to Mars. The experiment slots will go to the highest bidder and will include company-related ads, and the opportunity to have the company name on the robotic lander that is proposed to carry the experiments to Mars in 2018.[34]
Mars One selected a third-round pool of astronaut candidates in 2015 of 100 people — "50 men and 50 women who successfully passed the second round. The candidates come from all around the world, namely 39 from the Americas, 31 from Europe, 16 from Asia, 7 from Africa, and 7 from Oceania".
In a video posted on 19 of March 2015, Lansdorp said that because of delays in the robotic precursor mission, the first crew will not set down on Mars until 2027.[35] In August 2015, Lansdorp reiterated that their 12-year plan for landing humans on Mars by 2027 is subject to constant improvement and updates.[36]
Following the criticism reported in The Space Review in October 2016 about funding mechanisms,[37] Mars One created Mars One Ventures.
Mission proposals
According to their schedule as of March 2015, the first crew of four astronauts would arrive on Mars in 2027, after a seven-month journey from Earth. Additional teams would join the settlement every two years, with the intention that by 2035 there would be over twenty people living and working on Mars.[18] The astronaut selection process began on 22 April 2013.[38]
As of July 2015, the fourth round astronaut selection process, planned for Sept 2016, by which Mars One will choose six teams of four out of the 100 people selected in the third round, was announced.[39]
2020 unmanned lander mission
In December 2013, mission concept studies for an unmanned Mars mission were contracted with Lockheed Martin and Surrey Satellite Technology for a demonstration mission to be launched in 2017 and land on Mars in 2018. It would be based on the design of the successful 2007 NASA Phoenix lander,[40] and provide proof of concept for a subset of the key technologies for a later permanent human settlement on Mars.[41] Upon submission of Lockheed Martin's Proposal Information Package,[40] Mars One released a Request for Proposals[42] for the various payloads on the lander. The total payload mass of 44 kg is divided among the seven payloads as follows:[42]
- Water extraction (10 kg)
- Soil acquisition (15 kg)
- Thin film solar power demonstrator (6 kg)
- Camera system (5 kg)
- Open for random proposals from the highest bidder (4 kg)
- Educational payload (2 kg)
- Winning university experiment (2 kg)
2022 unmanned lander mission
In 2022, an unmanned rover will be launched to Mars in order to pick a landing site for the 2027 Mars One landing and a site for the Mars One colony. At the same time, a communication satellite will be launched, enabling continuous communication with the Mars One colony.[43]
2024 cargo missions launch
In 2024, the 6 cargo missions will be launched in close succession, consisting of two living units, two life-support units, and two supply units.[43]
2026 Mars One launch
A spacecraft containing four astronauts will be launched from Earth to meet a Transit vehicle bound for Mars.[43]
2027 Mars One landing
In 2027, the landing module will land on Mars, containing four astronauts. They will be met by the rover launched in 2020, and taken to the Mars One colony.[43]
Technology
Mars One has identified at least one potential supplier for each component of the mission.[44][45] The major components are planned to be acquired from proven suppliers.[46] As of May 2013, Mars One has a contract with Paragon Space Development Corporation, for a preliminary life support study.[47]
Launcher
The Falcon Heavy from SpaceX was the notional launcher in the early Mars One conceptual plan,[46] which included the notional use of SpaceX hardware for the lander and crew habitat, but, as of May 2013, SpaceX had not yet been contracted to supply mission hardware, and SpaceX has stated that it did "not currently have a relationship with Mars One."[47] By March 2014, SpaceX indicated that they had been contacted by Mars One, and were in discussions, but that accommodating Mars One requirements would require some additional work and that such work was not a part of the current focus of SpaceX.[48][24]
Mars transit vehicle
A manned interplanetary spacecraft, which would transport the crew to Mars, would be assembled in low Earth orbit and comprise two propellant modules: a Transit Living Module (discarded just before arrival at Mars) and a lander (see "Human Lander" below).[46][49]
A potential supplier for the Transit living module as of November 2012 was Thales Alenia Space.[50]
Demo Lander
Contract has been signed with Lockheed Martin to build the Demo Lander with the same designs as the Phoenix lander that went to Mars.[21]
Communications system
In December 2013 Mars One awarded a contract to Surrey Satellite Technology for a study of the satellite technology required to provide 24/7 communication between Earth and the Mars base.[51][52] Mars One proposed at least two satellites, one in areostationary orbit above Mars and a second at the Earth – Sun L4 or L5 point to relay the signal when Mars blocks the areosynchronous satellite from line of sight to Earth.[52] It is possible that a third satellite will be required to relay the signal on the rare occasions when the Sun blocks the first relay satellite from line of sight with Earth.[52]
Lander
An early notional Mars One lander was shown in concept art as a 5 meters (16 ft)-diameter variant of SpaceX's Dragon capsule. SpaceX has not agreed for their technology to be used by the Mars One project.[24]
Rover
The rover would be unpressurized and support travel distances of 80 km (50 miles).[53] A potential supplier for the rover as of November 2012 was Astrobotic Technology.[50]
Mars suit
The initial conceptual design assessment of Surface Exploration Suit (SES) for Mars by Paragon includes the Pressure Suit and the Portable Life Support System (PLSS) that permit survive outside the habitat.
The Mars suit would be flexible to allow the settlers to work with both cumbersome construction materials and sophisticated machinery when they are outside the habitat while protecting them from the cold, low pressure and noxious gases of the Martian atmosphere.[54] The likely supplier of the suits is ILC Dover.[55] On 12 March 2013, Paragon Space Development Corporation was contracted to develop concepts for life support and the Mars Surface Exploration Spacesuit System. The Paragon Space Development Corporation study was stated to be finished late summer 2013; Mars One released the results of this (ECLSS portion only) study to the public in June 2015.[56][57] The Mars suit study portion of the original contract has just entered ITAR review, with a publicly accessible copy available once passed through review.
Astronaut selection
Sign up period (Round 1)
The application was available from 22 April 2013 to 31 August 2013.[58][59] This first application consists of applicant’s general information, a motivational letter, a résumé and a video. More than 200,000 people expressed interest, so Mars One plans to hold several other application periods in the future.
By 9 September 2013, 4,227 applicants[60] had paid their registration fee and submitted public videos in which they made their case for going to Mars in 2023.[61] The application fee varies from US $5 to US $75 (the amount depending on the relative wealth of the applicant's country).[62]
First Selection
The results of applicants selected for round 2 were declared on 30 December 2013. A total of 1,058 applicants from 107 countries were selected.[26] The gender split is 586 male (55.4%) and 472 female (44.6%). Among the people that were selected for round 2, 159 have a master's degree, 347 have bachelor's degrees and 29 have Doctor of Medicine (M.D.) degrees. The majority of the applicants are under 36 and well educated.[64][65][66]
The Mars 100 (Round 2)
Medically cleared candidates were interviewed, and 50 men and 50 women from the total pool of 660 from around the world were selected to move on to the third round of the astronaut selection process:[67][68]
- 43 from the Americas
- 40 in North America (United States (36) and Canada (4)), and
- 3 in South America (Brazil (1), Bolivia (1) and Uruguay (1))
- 28 from Europe
- 16 from Asia (Russia (4))
- 6 from Africa (South Africa (4), Egypt (1) and Nigeria (1))
- 7 from Oceania (Australia (7))
- the youngest: 20-year-old
- the oldest: 61-year-old
- by countries:
- 36 from: United States
- 7 from: Australia
- 4 from: Germany, South Africa, Canada, United Kingdom, Russia, India
- 3 from: Poland
- 2 from: Iran, China, Japan, Philippines, Spain
- 1 from: Belgium, France, Norway, Denmark, Switzerland, Austria, Czech Republic, Brazil, Ireland, Romania, Croatia, Serbia, Ukraine, Vietnam, Pakistan, Egypt, Bolivia, Uruguay, New Zealand, Nigeria
Although initial plans were for the Mars One selection committee to perform regional interviews around the world, applicants were ultimately remotely interviewed and recorded by Mars One over a relatively short Skype/SparkHire call regarding Martian-related orbital, temp/pressure, geological and historical parameters and the specific elements of the Mars One one-way mission.[27][69][70] Dr. Joseph Roche, one of the finalists, has accused the selection process of being based on a point system that is primarily dependent on how much money each individual generated or gave to the Mars One organization, despite many of the round three selectees having not spent any money in the process, apart from the application fee, which varied as a function of each applicant's country GDP.[27][69][70] Lansdorp acknowledges a "gamification" point system but denies that selection is based on money earned.[70] Roche also stated that if paid for interviews, they are asked to donate 75% of the payment to Mars One.[27][70] This was confirmed by Lansdorp.[27][70]
Regional selection period (Cancelled Round 3)
It was originally planned that the pool of roughly one thousand successful applicants would be narrowed through regional contests. These events did not take place, and the above-mentioned group of 100 candidates were selected through the remote interview process and selected directly to round 3 in February 2015.
In late 2013, details of the 2015 selection phases had not been agreed upon due to ongoing negotiations with media companies for the rights to televise the selection processes.[71]
It was planned that the regional selection may be broadcast on TV and Internet in countries around the world. In each region, plans included 20–40 applicants participating in challenges including rigorous simulations, many in team settings, with focus on testing the physical and emotional capabilities of the remaining candidates, with the aim of demonstrating their suitability to become the first humans on Mars. The audience was to select one winner per region, and the experts could select additional participants, if needed, to continue to the international level.[72][73]
Group challenges (Round 3)
Round three takes place in 2016, over the course of 5 days. At the start of the event, the candidates organize themselves into groups of 10—5 men and 5 women of diverse nationalities and age groups.
1 | Blue |
2 | Orange |
3 | Green |
4 | Yellow |
5 | Red |
6 | White |
7 | Brown |
8 | Violet |
9 | Grey |
10 | Black |
The Mars One selection committee then sets up group dynamic challenges and provide study materials related to each challenge. This allow them to observe how the candidates work in a group setting and choose candidates for elimination.[39]
At the end of each day all the teams except the winner lose members; then they reorganize themselves for the following day. At the end 40 candidates remain.
Isolation (Round 4)
The remaining 40 candidates are spending nine days in an isolation unit. The candidates are observed closely to examine how they act in situations of prolonged close contact with one another. This test is implemented because, during the journey to Mars and upon arrival, the candidates will spend 24 hours a day with each other and during this time the simplest things may start to become bothersome. It takes a specific team dynamic to be able to handle this, and the goal of this selection round is to find those that are best suited for this challenge.
After the isolation round, 30 candidates are chosen to partake in a Mars Settler Suitability Interview.[39]
Mars Settler Suitability Interview (Round 5)
The Mars Settler Suitability Interview measures suitability for long duration Space missions and Mars settlement and will last approximately 4 hours. 24 candidates are selected after the interview and will be offered full-time employment with Mars One.[39]
Astronaut Training
From the previous selection series, six groups of four are to become full-time employees of the Mars One astronaut corps, after which they are to train for the mission. Whole teams and individuals might be deselected during training if they prove not to be suitable for the mission. Six to ten teams of four people are to be selected for seven years of full-time training.
Revenues and investment
Mars One funding comes from private investment (undisclosed), intellectual property (IP) rights, the sale of future broadcasting rights, and astronaut application fees.[62]
Investments
On January 29, 2013, Mars One announced its initial batch of investors[75] from the Netherlands and South Africa. The value of the investment remains undisclosed.
Reality TV
Mars One initially estimated a one-way trip, excluding the cost of maintaining four astronauts on Mars until they die, at 6 billion USD.[76] Lansdorp has declined questions regarding the cost estimate because he believes "it would be very stupid for us to give the prices that have been quoted per component".[77] For comparison, an "austere" manned Mars mission (including a temporary stay followed by a return of the astronauts) proposed by NASA in 2009 had a projected cost of $100 billion USD after an 18-year program, including a NASA-required return component.[78]
Mars One, the not-for-profit foundation, is the controlling stockholder of the for-profit Interplanetary Media Group.[79] A proposed global "reality-TV" media event was intended to provide funds to finance the expedition, however, no such reality TV show has emerged and no contracts have been signed. The astronaut selection process (with some public participation) was to be televised and continue on through the first years of living on Mars.[80][81]
Discussions between Endemol, producers of the Big Brother series, and Mars One ended with Endemol subsidiary Darlow Smithson Productions issuing a statement in February 2015 that they "were unable to reach agreement on the details of the contract" and that the company was "no longer involved in the project."[82] Lansdorp updated plans to no longer include live broadcasts from Mars but instead rely on a documentary-style production, adding "Just like the Olympics, we watch highlights, we don't watch things that athletes do when they're not performing their abilities."[83]
Sponsors
On 31 August 2012, company officials announced that funding from its first sponsors had been received.[76] Corporate sponsorship money will be used mostly to fund the conceptual design studies provided by the aerospace suppliers.[76]
Donations and merchandise
Country of buyer/donor | Revenue amount (in US $) |
---|---|
United States | 371,102 |
Canada | 94,580 |
United Kingdom | 73,289 |
Australia | 65,799 |
Netherlands | 42,579 |
Germany | 39,396 |
Russia | 20,935 |
Sweden | 20,568 |
Norway | 18,726 |
France | 18,590 |
Denmark | 15,892 |
Switzerland | 11,782 |
Belgium | 11,066 |
Spain | 9,683 |
Brazil | 8,992 |
Finland | 8,927 |
Poland | 7,825 |
Austria | 7,342 |
New Zealand | 6,087 |
Italy | 5,428 |
Others (93 countries) | 70,300 |
Total (from 113 countries) | 928,888 |
Since the official announcement of their conversion to a Stichting, Mars One has been accepting one-time and regular monthly donations through their website. As of 4 July 2016, Mars One had received $928,888 in donations and merchandise sales.[84] The recent donation update adds the Indiegogo campaign ($313,744) to the private donation and merchandise total.
Over three quarters of the investment is in concept design studies. Mars One states that "income from donations and merchandise have not been used to pay salaries". To date, no financial records have been released for public viewing.[85]
Crowdfunding
On 10 December 2013, Mars One set up a crowdfunding campaign on Indiegogo to fund their 2018 demonstration mission. The 2018 mission includes a lander and communications satellite, and aims to prove several mission critical technologies in addition to launch and landing. The campaign goal was to raise $400,000 USD by 25 January 2014. Since the ending date was drawing near, they decided to extend the ending date to 9 February 2014. By the end of the campaign, they had received $313,744 in funds. Indiegogo will receive 9% ($28,237) of the $313,744 for the campaign failing to achieve its goal.[86]
Criticism
Mars One has received a variety of criticism, mostly relating to medical,[87] technical and financial feasibility. There are also unverified claims that Mars One is a scam designed to take as much money as possible from donors, including reality show contestants.[88][89] Many have criticized the project's US$6 billion budget as being too low to successfully transport humans to Mars, to the point of being delusional.[90][91] A similar project study by NASA estimated the cost of such a feat at US$100 billion, although that included transporting the astronauts back to Earth. Objections have also been raised regarding the reality TV project associated with the expedition. Given the transient nature of most reality TV ventures, many believe that as viewership declines, funding could significantly decrease, thereby harming the entire expedition. Further, TV reality show contestants have reported that they were ranked based on their donations and funds raised.[88][92]
Academia
John Logsdon, a space policy expert at George Washington University, criticized the program, saying it appears to be a scam[91] and not "a credible proposition".[93]
Chris Welch, director of Masters Programs at the International Space University, has said "Even ignoring the potential mismatch between the project income and its costs and questions about its longer-term viability, the Mars One proposal does not demonstrate a sufficiently deep understanding of the problems to give real confidence that the project would be able to meet its very ambitious schedule."[94]
Gerard 't Hooft, theoretical physicist and ambassador[95] to Mars One, has stated that he thought both their proposed schedule and budget were off by a factor of ten.[27][96] He said he still supported the project's overall goals.[96]
A space logistics analysis conducted by PhD candidates at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology revealed that the most optimistic of scenarios would require 15 Falcon Heavy launches that would cost approximately $4.5 billion.[97] They concluded that the reliability of Environmental Control and Life Support systems (ECLS), the Technology Readiness Levels (TRL), and in situ resource utilization (ISRU) would have to be improved. Additionally, they determined that if the costs of launch were also lowered dramatically, together this would help to reduce the mass and cost of Mars settlement architecture.[97] The environmental system would result in failure to be able to support human life in 68 days if fire safety standards on over-oxygenation were followed, due to excessive use of nitrogen supplies that would not then be able to be used to compensate leakage of air out of the habitat, leading to a resultant loss in pressurization, ending with pressures too low to support human life.[98] Lansdorp replied that although he has not read all the research, supplier Lockheed Martin says that the technologies were viable.[99]
Another serious concern uncovered in the research conducted by MIT is replacement parts. The PhD candidates estimated the need for spare parts in a Mars colony based on the failure rates of parts on the ISS. They determined that a resupply mission every two years would be necessary unless a large space in the initial launch were to be reserved for extra materials. Lansdorp commented on this saying, "They are correct. The major challenge of Mars One is keeping everything up and running. We don't believe what we have designed is the best solution. It's a good solution."[99]
In March 2015, one of the Mars One finalists, Joseph Roche,[100] stated to media outlets that he believes the mission to be a scam. Roche holds doctorate degrees in physics and astrophysics, and shared many of his concerns and criticisms of the mission. These claims include that the organization lied about the number of applicants, stating that 200,000 individuals applied versus Roche's claim of 2,761, and that many of the applicants had paid to be put on the list. Furthermore, Roche claimed that Mars One is asking finalists for donations from any money earned from guest appearances (which would amount to a minimal portion of the estimated $6 billion required for the mission). Finally, despite being one of 100 finalists, Roche himself has never spoken to any Mars One employee or representative in person, and instead of psychological or psychometric testing as is normal for astronaut candidates (especially for a lengthy, one-way mission), his interview process consisted of a 10-minute Skype conversation.[88][101]
Space advocacy and policy
Robert Zubrin, advocate for manned Martian exploration, said "I don't think the business plan closes it. We're going to go to Mars, we need a billion dollars, and we're going to make up the revenue with advertising and media rights and so on. You might be able to make up some of the money that way, but I don't think that anyone who is interested in making money is going to invest on that basis — invest in this really risky proposition, and if you're lucky you'll break even? That doesn't fly."[102] Despite his criticisms, Zubrin became an adviser to Mars One on 10 October 2013.[103]
Astronauts
Canadian former astronaut Julie Payette said during the opening speech for an International Civil Aviation Organization conference that she does not think Mars One "is sending anybody anywhere".[70]
In January 2014, German former astronaut Ulrich Walter strongly criticized the project for ethical reasons. Speaking with Tagesspiegel, he estimated the probability of reaching Mars alive at only 30%, and that of surviving there more than three months at less than 20%. He said, "They make their money with that [TV] show. They don't care what happens to those people in space... If my tax money were used for such a mission, I would organize a protest."[104]
Space tourist Richard Garriott stated in response to Mars One, "Many have interesting viable starting plans. Few raise the money to be able to pull it off."[105]
Former astronaut Buzz Aldrin said in an interview that he wants to see humans on Mars by 2035, but he does not think Mars One will be the first to achieve it.[106]
Publications
Wired magazine gave it a plausibility score of 2 out of 10 as part of their 2012 Most Audacious Private Space Exploration Plans.[107]
The Daily Mail enumerated reasons why the project will never happen, calling the project "foolish". The project lacks current funding as well as sources for future funding. The organization has no spacecraft or rocket in development or any contracts in place with companies that could provide a spacecraft or rocket. While plans point to SpaceX for both resources, the company has no contracts with Mars One in an industry that typically plans contracts decades in advance.[24] The organization has not shared any research into the effects of microgravity on crews in flight or reduced gravity on the Mars surface. The organization has yet to provide plans or even study how crews might survive dust storms, supply challenges or the increased radiation on Mars.[108]
See also
References
- ↑ Nnamdi, Kojo. "One-way Mission to Mars". NPR: Science. Retrieved 25 February 2015.
- ↑ "About". Mars One. Retrieved 2013-08-06.
- ↑ Cowing, Keith. "Throwing Shade on Mars One". NASA Watch. Retrieved 10 March 2015.
- ↑ Vergano, Dan. "Mars Missions Are A Scam". BuzzFeed. Retrieved 10 March 2015.
- ↑ Hutchinson, Lee. "If Mars One makes you skeptical, you might be dead inside—like me". ars technica. Retrieved 10 March 2015.
- ↑ Orwig, Jessica. "A new, strangely morbid video profiles 3 people vying to visit Mars — and they seem completely unprepared for the trip". Business Insider. Retrieved 10 March 2015.
- ↑ Chu, Jennifer. "Mars One (and done?)". MIT News. Retrieved 20 March 2015.
- ↑ Draper, Lucy. "Astronaut Chris Hadfield Questions Feasibility of Mars One Mission". Newsweek. Retrieved 20 March 2015.
- ↑ Fernholz, Tim. "Sorry, but those Mars volunteers are never getting off the ground". Quartz. Retrieved 20 March 2015.
- ↑ Day, Dwayne (17 August 2015). "Red planet rumble". Th Space Review. Retrieved 2015-08-21.
- 1 2 3 Faoust, Jeff. "Mars One Suspends Work on Robotic Missions". Space News.
- ↑ "Mission, Vision and Feasibility". Mars One. Retrieved 17 July 2012.
- ↑ "Billionaire Dennis Tito unveils plan to send married couple to Mars". The London Telegraph. 27 Feb 2013. Retrieved 12 August 2013.
- ↑ Staff. "Mars One plans to establish human settlement on Mars in 2023". Retrieved 6 June 2012.
- ↑ "Our Mars Colonization Plan Is Feasible, Mars One CEO Insists". Retrieved 8 June 2016.
- ↑ "About Mars One - Mars One". Mars One. Retrieved 2015-11-01.
- ↑ "Mars One's CEO Bas Lansdorp answers questions about mission feasibility.". Mars One. 19 March 2015. Retrieved 20 March 2015.
- 1 2 "Mission Roadmap". MarsOne. Retrieved 20 March 2015.
- ↑ Michael Bradbury (5 June 2012). "Reality TV Sets Sights on Mars for New Show". Real Science. Retrieved 17 June 2012.
- 1 2 3 4 Black, Charles (18 October 2012). "Mars One plans human settlement on the Red Planet by 2023". SEN TV LIMITED.
- 1 2 "Lockheed Martin and SSTL selected for Mars One's first Unmanned Mission to Mars - Press Releases - News - Mars One". Mars One. Retrieved 2016-07-06.
- ↑ Anne Sewell (1 June 2012). "Mars One: Human settlement on Mars in 2023". Digital Journal. Retrieved 6 June 2012.
- ↑ "Meet the 100 Candidates for a One Way Trip to Mars". CNN.
- 1 2 3 4 "Will the Mars One reality TV mission ever take off?" (The Telegraph).
- ↑ "Mars One Colony Project Delays Manned Red Planet Mission to 2026". Retrieved 8 June 2016.
- 1 2 3 Foust (2014-01-01). "Year in Preview: going to the Red Planet requires a lot of green". NewSpace Journal. Retrieved 2014-01-07.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 Keep, Elmo (16 March 2015). "Mars One Finalist Explains Exactly How It's Ripping Off Supporters". Medium. Retrieved 16 March 2015.
- 1 2 Martian Colonist (20 March 2015). "How Were Mars One Candidates Selected?". Retrieved 8 June 2016 – via YouTube.
- ↑ "Mars One partners with Uwingu Mars Crater Naming Project". Mars One.
- ↑ Wall, Mike. "New 'People's Map of Mars' To Be Used By Mars One Project". Huffington Post.
- 1 2 "705 potential Mars settlers remain in Mars One's astronaut selection process". Mars-One. 5 May 2014.
- ↑ "705 potential Mars settlers remain in Mars One's astronaut selection process - Press Releases - News - Mars One". Retrieved 8 June 2016.
- ↑ Partnership with Mars One Space Mission Darlow Smithson Productions, June 2, 2014
- ↑ Mars One Puts Out the Call for Red Planet Experiments (and Ads) Alan Boyle, NBC News, June 30, 2014
- ↑ "Mars One Colony Project Delays Manned Red Planet Mission to 2026". Retrieved 8 June 2016.
- ↑ Mars One Torn To Shreds In MIT Debate. August 21, 2015 by Jonathan O'Callaghan.
- ↑ Carberry, Chris; Zucker, Rick (2016-10-10). "Is there a business case for Mars?". The Space Review. Retrieved 2016-10-11.
- ↑ "Mars One presents more details on next astronaut selection rounds". Mars One. 2015-07-14. Retrieved 2015-07-14.
- 1 2 3 4 "Mars One presents more details on next astronaut selection rounds - Press Releases - News - Mars One". Retrieved 8 June 2016.
- 1 2 "http://www.mars-one.com/images/uploads/MarsOne_PIP.pdf" (PDF). Retrieved 8 June 2016. External link in
|title=
(help) - ↑ Messier, Doug (2013-12-10). "Mars One Contracts Lockheed Martin, Surrey Satellite for Mission Concept Studies". Parabolic Arc. Retrieved 2013-12-10.
- 1 2 "http://www.mars-one.com/images/uploads/RFP_Mars-One.pdf" (PDF). Retrieved 8 June 2016. External link in
|title=
(help) - 1 2 3 4 "Roadmap - Mission - Mars One." Mars One. N.p., n.d. Web. 14 Dec. 2014.
- ↑ Staff (3 June 2012). "Mars One plans to establish human settlement on Mars in 2023". Kurzweil. Retrieved 6 June 2012.
- ↑ "About the suppliers". Mars One. Retrieved 17 July 2012.
- 1 2 3 "Technology". Mars One. Retrieved 2013-08-06.
- 1 2 Shubber, Kadhim (13 May 2013). "Mars One will take you to the Red Planet, if it can raise the cash". Wired.co.uk. Retrieved 4 June 2013.
- ↑ Gwynne Shotwell (2014-03-21). Broadcast 2212: Special Edition, interview with Gwynne Shotwell (audio file). The Space Show. Event occurs at 11:20–12:10. 2212. Archived from the original (mp3) on 2014-03-22. Retrieved 2014-03-22.
- ↑ "Mars Transit Vehicle". Mars One. Retrieved 11 November 2012.
- 1 2 "Suppliers". Mars One. Retrieved 12 November 2012.
- ↑ "Lockheed Martin and SSTL selected for Mars One's first unmanned mission to Mars". Mars One. Retrieved 9 December 2013.
- 1 2 3 Henry, Caleb (7 January 2014). "Mars One Plans Two, Possibly Three Communications Satellites for the Red Planet". Via Satellite. Access Intelligence Satellite Group. Retrieved 11 January 2014.
- ↑ "Is this really possible?". Mars One. Retrieved 2013-08-06.
- ↑ "Mars Suit". Mars One. Retrieved 11 November 2012.
- ↑ "ILC Dover". Mars One.
- ↑ "Mars One Contracts Paragon for Mars Life Support Systems". Mars One.
- ↑ "How to keep humans alive on Mars-Abstract Surface Habitat ECLSS Conceptual Design". Mars One.
- ↑ "How will the astronaut selection proceed?". Mars One. Retrieved 4 December 2013.
- ↑ "Can I Apply to Become an Astronaut?" Mars One. Retrieved on 2 Sept. 2013.
- ↑ cite web |url=https://community.mars-one.com/blog/the-science-of-screening-astronauts |title=The Science of Screening Astronauts|first=Vince|date=27 May 2015
- ↑ Boyle, Alan (9 September 2013). "More than 2,700 pay up for a chance to take a one-way trip to Mars". NBC News. Retrieved 4 December 2013.
- 1 2 Wall, Mike (7 May 2013). "78,000 Apply for Private Mars Colony Project In 2 Weeks". Space.com. Retrieved 4 June 2013.
- ↑ "http://aspiringmartians.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/Round2Infographic22_zps1dd31954.png". Retrieved 8 June 2016. External link in
|title=
(help) - ↑ "1,058 People Still in Running for One-Way Trip to Mars". Newsmax. 30 December 2013. Retrieved 6 February 2014.
- ↑ "Mars One narrows applicant pool to 1,058 in first cut for 2025 colonization mission". The Verge. 30 December 2013.
- ↑ "Mars One Picks 1,058 Potential Astronauts for One-Way Mission". ABC News.
- ↑ "The Mars 100: Mars One Announces Round Three Astronaut Candidates". Mars One.
- ↑ "Mars One Community Platform". Mars One Community Platform.
- 1 2 Roche, Joseph (18 March 2015). "I'm on list to be a Mars One astronaut – but I won't see the red planet". Guardian. Retrieved 19 March 2015.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 Kaplan, Sarah (19 March 2015). "That one way flight to Mars is losing its sheen". Washington Post. Retrieved 19 March 2015.
- ↑ "Mars One announces Round 2 Astronaut Selection Results". Mars One. 30 December 2013. Retrieved 2014-05-13.
- ↑ "How will the astronaut selection proceed?". Mars One. Retrieved 7 February 2014.
- ↑ "Potential Martians: Mars One selects 1,058 hopefuls among 200,000 applicants". 31 December 2013.
- 1 2 "Donate". Mars One. Retrieved 11 February 2015.
- ↑ "Mars One Secures First Investments". Retrieved 2015-12-17.
- 1 2 3 Staff (31 August 2012). "Private Manned Mars Mission Gets First Sponsors". Space.com. Retrieved 3 September 2012.
- ↑ Boyle, Alan (22 April 2013). "Thousands want to take one-way trip to Mars, but will you pay their way?". NBC News. Retrieved 4 June 2013.
- ↑ "Page 32 of Discussion Document" (PDF). Retrieved 2013-08-06.
- ↑ Nicola Clark (8 March 2013). "Reality TV for the Red Planet". The New York Times. Retrieved 9 March 2013.
- ↑ Dario Borghino (4 June 2012). "Mission to Mars meets reality TV". Gizmag. Retrieved 8 June 2012.
- ↑ Rob Waugh (4 June 2012). "There will be life on Mars: Mission to create first human colony by 2023 – and it will be filmed for reality TV show". Daily Mail. Retrieved 6 June 2012.
- ↑ Foust, Jeff (24 Feb 2015). "Mars One Loses Television Deal". SpaceNews. Retrieved 28 February 2015.
- ↑ "Endemol axes plans for reality TV show that would record life of Mars One explorers - but a documentary will still be made". Daily Mail.
- ↑ "Donate". Mars One. 2014-01-31. Retrieved 2014-02-16.
- ↑ "Donate". Mars One.
- ↑ "Mars One - First Private Mars Mission in 2018". Indiegogo.
- ↑ Fong, MD, Kevin (12 February 2014). "The Strange, Deadly Effects Mars Would Have on Your Body". Wired (magazine). Retrieved 12 February 2014.
- 1 2 3 'Mars One' finalist breaks silence, claims organization is a total scam, 16 March 2015
- ↑ Roche, Joseph. "I'm on list to be a Mars One astronaut – but I won't see the red planet". The Guardian. Retrieved 8 April 2015.
- ↑ Day, Dwayne (17 August 2015). "Red planet rumble". Th Space Review. Retrieved 2015-08-21.
- 1 2 Dickerson, Kelly. "The Mars One plan is totally delusional". Yahoo! News. Retrieved 8 April 2015.
- ↑ West, Kesha. "Ethical questions over one-way Mars trip". Retrieved 11 January 2014.
- ↑ Greenfieldboyce, Nell (17 March 2015). "Are Humans Really Headed To Mars Anytime Soon?". NPR. Retrieved 19 March 2015.
- ↑ Holligan, Anna (19 June 2012). "Can the Dutch do reality TV in space?". BBC. Retrieved 26 November 2012.
- ↑ "Mars One Ambassadors". Retrieved 20 Apr 2016.
- 1 2 Devlin, Hannah (23 Feb 2015). "Mars One plan to colonise red planet unrealistic, says leading supporter". The Guardian. Retrieved 28 February 2015.
- 1 2 "An Independent Assessment of the Technical Feasibility of the Mars One Mission Plan". Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Retrieved 2014-10-14.
- ↑ "Mars One -- and done?". SpaceDaily. 17 October 2014.
- 1 2 Rafi Letzler (11 October 2014). "MIT Students Claim Astronauts Will Starve On 'Mars One' Mission". Popular Mechanics.
- ↑ Dr. Joseph Roche's profile on Trinity College Dublins webpage
- ↑ Roche, Joseph. "I'm on list to be a Mars One astronaut – but I won't see the red planet". The Guardian. Retrieved 8 April 2015.
- ↑ Taylor, Adam (8 June 2012). "This Incredible Plan For A Mission To Mars In 2023 Is No Hoax". Business Insider. Retrieved 26 November 2012.
- ↑ "Zubrin joins the Advisory Board". Mars One.
- ↑ Tagesspiegel: Raumfahrtexperte geht mit Mars-Projekt hart ins Gericht, 6 January 2014, last seen 11 January 2014.
- ↑ Howard, Jacqueline (5 June 2012). "Mars One: Dutch Startup Aims To Colonize Red Planet In 2023". Huffington Post. Retrieved 26 November 2012.
- ↑ HuffPost Live, Buzz Aldrin Remains Unconvinced Of Mars One's Ability To Build Human Colony On Red Planet, 29 August 2013.
- ↑ Mann, Adam (27 December 2012). "The Year's Most Audacious Private Space Exploration Plans". Wired. Retrieved 29 December 2012.
- ↑ "FIVE REASONS MARS ONE WILL NEVER HAPPEN". Daily Mail.
Further reading
- Sydney Do; Koki Ho; Samuel Schreiner; Andrew Owens; Olivier de Weck (2014), "An Independent Assessment of the Technical Feasibility of the Mars One Mission Plan" (PDF), 65th International Astronautical Congress, IAC-14-A5.2.7
External links
Wikimedia Commons has media related to Mars One. |